Tunis — In a notable change in Tunisia’s international trade landscape, China has overtaken traditional European partners to become the country’s largest exporter, marking a strategic shift in economic relations between the two nations.
According to data from the Tunisian National Institute of Statistics (INS), Chinese exports to Tunisia surged by over 37 % in the first seven months of 2025, reaching approximately 6.527 billion Tunisian dinars (about €1.92 billion). This growth allowed China to surpass Italy (5.711 billion dinars) and France (5.374 billion dinars), the country’s longstanding principal suppliers.
What This Means for Tunisia’s Trade
China’s new position as Tunisia’s top exporter highlights its growing influence in the North African nation’s supply chains — particularly for machinery, electronics, and industrial goods. However, this development also comes amid a widening trade deficit for Tunisia. INS figures show that while Tunisian exports rose modestly, total imports grew at a faster pace, pushing the trade deficit to around 11.9 billion dinars, compared to 9.6 billion dinars the previous year. Consequently, Tunisia’s trade coverage ratio — a key metric of export strength relative to imports — fell to 75.6 %.
Broader Relations and Future Prospects
The China‑Tunisia trade relationship has expanded steadily in recent years. Total bilateral trade reached approximately 9.2 billion dinars in 2024, up about 8 % from the previous year, reflecting growing economic ties beyond simple imports.
Diplomatic and economic conversations are also advancing. Officials from both countries have indicated ongoing negotiations toward a Free Trade Partnership Agreement that could introduce zero‑tariff treatment on many goods, potentially accelerating trade volumes further in the coming years.
Meanwhile, Tunisian authorities are working to boost Tunisian exports to China, particularly in sectors with high potential such as olive oil, seafood and dates, although these currently represent a small portion of total trade.
Looking Ahead
China’s ascension as Tunisia’s top exporter reflects broader economic trends in global trade and underscores Beijing’s expanding role in Mediterranean markets. For Tunisia, the challenge will be to balance this growing commercial relationship with strategies that also strengthen domestic production and diversify export destinations.
